Sunday, 11 March 2012

About this blog

I was in Tokyo on the 11th March when the quake and tsunami struck the east coast of Japan.
I was on the train at the time when the immense shaking started...and went on...and on...and on.

Whilst the epicentre was a long way from Tokyo itself, it still wasn't the Big One that has been expected to hit the capital for years.

Confusingly, several quakes have been predicted and many reports have been written.

Quakes such the the 1923 Kanto quake, the Tokai quake, the 1855 Ansei Edo quake, and the 1894 Meiji quake.
The Tokai quake has been the one that the Japanese Govt. has been concentrating on and has been the focus of predictions.
This quake, whilst not having an epicentre in Tokyo, would cause damage to the city.

When a quake has been spoken of in and around the Capital, the Kanto quake has been the one that has been quoted by journalists in their reports.

Fresh research has scientists predicting the epicentre will be of that similar to the 1855 & 1894 quakes that struck in Tokyo Bay.
Scientists report that there is now a 70% chance of a Tokyo quake happening in Tokyo Bay area within 4 years.
So, after searching for information, it has led me to start this blog.
I aim to gather information from both of the Tokyo Bay quakes. Information about the Tokyo Bay quakes is hard to find as they happened at a time when technology wasn't as advanced.
I will also focus on the 1995 Kobe quake as a recent turn of events.
This quake has some interesting info that can in one way or another give us an idea what a quake in Tokyo might be like.

The Kobe quake was shallow and close to land. It was a 7.2 magnitude, which is roughly what is predicted in Tokyo.
Kobe is also a large industrial city.
However, the population is about a tenth of that of Tokyo's.
Still, as modern Japanese quakes go, Kobe is a good source of the potential devastation that is likely in Tokyo.

One of the things that I noticed when going onto some forums that there is a lot of fear-mongering and people giving the same information, over and over again.
It doesn't give one the best hope.
I'm gathering my information from history and compiling it into one blog.
It probably won't be a blog to seek help and advice on what to do in a quake, and I won't be telling anyone to stock up on dry food and fresh water, you should already know this.

Once again, this blog is about the predicted Tokyo Bay quake.

No comments:

Post a Comment